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Florida Policy Institute Warns DeSantis Property Tax Plan Could Cost Billions

Think Tank Says DeSantis Homestead Tax Proposal Could Hit Schools Hard

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — A Florida-based policy organization is warning that Governor Ron DeSantis’ proposal to significantly expand the state’s homestead tax exemption could result in billions of dollars in lost revenue for school districts, counties, and local governments across Florida.

The debate comes as lawmakers gather in a Special Legislative Session called by DeSantis to consider a series of property tax reforms aimed at reducing the tax burden on Florida homeowners.

At the center of the discussion is a proposal that would increase Florida’s homestead exemption to $150,000 beginning in 2027 and eventually raise it to $250,000. The long-term plan also contemplates broader reductions in homestead property taxes if approved by lawmakers and voters.

The Florida Policy Institute (FPI), a nonpartisan research organization, released an analysis arguing that the proposal could create significant budget challenges for local governments that rely heavily on property tax revenue to fund essential services.

According to the report, school districts could face substantial funding reductions if the exemption expansion is fully implemented. FPI estimates that a $250,000 homestead exemption could reduce school-related property tax collections by roughly $5 billion annually, with losses potentially growing if additional property tax reductions are approved in future years.

County governments could experience similar impacts. The organization projects that counties may lose billions of dollars in annual revenue, forcing local officials to make difficult decisions regarding public services, infrastructure projects, and community programs.

Supporters of the proposal argue that Florida homeowners have faced rapidly rising property values and tax assessments in recent years, creating financial pressure for families across the state. They contend that expanding homestead protections would provide meaningful relief and help residents remain in their homes despite increasing housing costs.

The DeSantis administration has launched a public information campaign highlighting the potential savings homeowners could receive under the proposal. State officials have also emphasized provisions designed to limit immediate benefits for future Florida residents by requiring new arrivals to wait several years before receiving the full tax advantages.

The proposal faces significant hurdles before becoming law. Constitutional changes involving property taxes require approval by both the Florida Legislature and voters statewide.

The debate is expected to intensify as lawmakers weigh the competing goals of reducing taxes for homeowners while maintaining stable funding for schools, public safety, transportation, and other local government services.

With property taxes emerging as one of Florida’s most closely watched policy issues in 2026, the outcome of the Special Session could shape the state’s fiscal landscape for years to come.

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